How Will a Trump Presidency Affect Canada?
On Tuesday, November 8, 2016, Donald Trump was elected the 45th President of the United States. It was a surprise to many and left the majority of people wondering how will a Trump presidency affect them? Let’s take a look at how President Trump, his positions on important issues, and his policies may affect us in Canada.
Throughout the election, many Americans jokingly (or not so jokingly) proclaimed that they would be moving to Canada if Trump were elected. Possibly, as a result, it became a worry of many that real estate prices would then skyrocket because of the increase in demand for homes from all the Americans moving in. This idea is, of course, an exaggeration, do we know if any Americans have actually packed up their bags and headed north yet? Most real estate experts have dispelled this idea and believe that prices will continue to rise for the same reasons prices have been on the rise for the past year.
Trade, could arguably be one of the biggest ways Canada will be affected by a Trump presidency as he was very vocal during his campaign about wanting to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Trump was adamant about canceling NAFTA if it was not renegotiated. While he does, in fact, the power to do so, it wouldn’t be quite as simple as some fear it is, as there are of course many other issues and agreements at play. The reason why Canada would be so greatly affected by a canceled or changed NAFTA is because ¾ of our exports are shipped to our southern neighbours.
Trump’s stance on climate change is worrisome to not only Canada as he often refuses to accept the scientific fact that climate change is a real issue that must be addressed. Canada and the U.S. have extensively worked together in the past to address the issue of climate change and currently work together on several climate projects. Should Trump decide to eliminate those projects, it’s unclear how Canada would be able to handle them on its own.
Let’s take a look at some of the statements and promises Trump has made concerning climate change during his campaign:
- He plans to remove the U.S. from any international climate agreements.
- He wants to get rid of President Obama’s greenhouse-gas policies.
- He also plans to “gut” the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
- He’s spoken about disassembling the Paris Agreement (a United Nations climate change agreement).
If you’re interested in hearing more about what Trump has to say about climate change, here’s a link to all his tweets concerning the issue.
All members of NATO have pledged to spend 2% of their GDP on military expenses. Currently, not all countries have been able to meet this pledge and Trump believes that’s those who have not spent the 2% should be left to “defend themselves”. The reason that this may be an issue for Canada is because we are nowhere near close to meeting the 2% requirement.
It’s no secret that Trudeau and Trump have very different views and ideas concerning refugees, especially those from Syria. Trudeau welcomed them into Canada at the airport, Trump has had nothing but disparaging comments to make about them.
The main issues here could be national security and potentially the border between the U.S. and Canada. While it’s not clear as of now how these two differing points of view will affect Canadian and American relations, it’s safe to say that there may be some issues in the future.
The Keystone XL Pipeline
The Keystone XL pipeline, which was rejected by President Obama in 2015, is another issue that may affect Canada. Trump said during his campaign that he is for the construction of the pipeline, but of course only if the U.S. is able to financially benefit from it. While both Canadians and Americans are split on their opinions of the pipeline, Trudeau has in the past supported the construction of the pipeline. It will, to say the least, be interesting to see how this issue plays out over the next 4 years.